Alex Barrena vs Juan Manuel La Serna Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In recent months, Barrena's second serve performance is slightly superior to Serna's, with 44.29% of points won compared to Serna's 42.38%.
• Both players have comparable stats when returning second serves, with Barrena at 46.59% and Serna at 46.22%. The difference is minimal, indicating a balanced matchup in this area. But who is stronger on first serve returns? Serna has an edge with 33.99% compared to Barrena's 32.95%.
• Under pressure, Serna excels in breakpoint save percentage, achieving 49.46% compared to Barrena's 47.98%.
• Looking at overall match performance over the last year, Barrena holds a clear advantage, winning 67.09% of matches versus Serna's 57.41%.
• On clay, Barrena is more accomplished, winning 58% of matches, while Serna's best is on indoor hard courts at 75%.
• Both players predominantly compete in lower-tier tournaments, with Barrena performing slightly better at the Challenger/ITF level compared to Serna's Futures/Satellites success.
• Direct head-to-head outcomes favor Barrena, who has won all three previous encounters without dropping a set.
• The average match duration in their previous meetings is 1:25:43, suggesting competitive play.
• Barrena performs excellently in deciding sets, winning 64% in the last year versus Serna's 47%.
• When facing similarly ranked opponents, Barrena encounters tougher competition (average rank 380.37) compared to Serna's (426.74).
• Serna showcases a marginally better breakpoint conversion rate at 35.75%, compared to Barrena's 34.24%.

Editorial Prediction (September 18, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing the data, Barrena demonstrates a slightly better performance in several key metrics, such as historical head-to-head dominance and overall match-winning records over the past year. His superior record on clay surfaces, where their last confrontation also took place, adds a further advantage.

While Serna shows resilience in saving break points and a marginal edge in first serve return points, Barrena's consistent ability to win deciding sets and confront higher-ranked players should not be overlooked.

The historical head-to-head results strongly favor Barrena, who has yet to lose to Serna, indicating a psychological edge as well.

Considering these factors, Barrena is the projected winner in this upcoming tennis match.